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Authority / Future intelligenceCovering 2,000+ markets

The future,
quantified.

We track millions of events with specialized AI-forecasting models, so you can stay ahead of market movements.

One event.
A world of consequences.

A detected event branches into supply chains, demand, pricing, capital flows, policy and market confidence, then into second-order consequences.

Specific markets.
Deeper understanding.

Invest smarter, with forecasts that adjust to the market.

Chrysler Building and the New York skyline, with a warm golden colour grade

We quantify the unknown,
so you can move smarter.

Forecasts grounded by industry experts.

We record numerical probabilities, track revisions and evaluate forecasts against resolved events. You can assess the evidence and performance independently.

Explore our methodology

Expert-grounded forecasts

Forecasting models informed by feedback from specialists who know their markets.

Proper scoring

Performance can be assessed with Brier scores and relevant baselines.

Traceable evidence

Important updates link back to publicly available sources.

Authority × Oxford AI. Advancing specialised AI forecasting.

Perspectives from
people shaping the future.